اسلوب الافضليات الضبابية لفض النزاع المائي على حوضي نهري الزاب الاسفل و ديالى

Abstract

The potential conflict between Iran and Iraq over Lesser Zab and Diyala river basins is considered imminent and might occur at any time as a result of the widening gap between supply and demand for both countries. The subject of analyzing and resolving this conflict was discussed in a previous paper (Part-I) (accepted for publication in Muthanna Journal of Engineering and Technology) by applying the GMCR-II model (An improved version of the GMCR). The results reveal that the resolving of this dispute is possible. The current paper (Part-II) is considered complementary of Part-I and concerning the application of FGM (Fuzzy Preference Framework for the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution), and comparing the results with those obtained when the GMCR-II model is applied. The comparison showed that the use of FGM which adopts the method of fuzzy preferences provides more realistic solutions than those obtained by applying the former model. This is because it is highly supported by preferential values that can reach the recipient easily. For example, In the Lesser Zab River conflict, three cases were named as (S4, S5, S7) out of seven cases that achieved all the nominated stabilities adopted by GMCR-II, however, the new method using FGM allowed only two states (S6 and S7) out of the above seven cases to be a candidate resolution of this conflict. Specifically, state S4 in the GMCR-II model (stands for escalation of the situation by the Iranian side by reducing the current release.