Effect of Relative Delay Rate on Predicted Accident at Karbala City Arterial Streets: A Simulation Study

Authors

  • Majida Salah Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Karbala, Karbala, Iraq https://orcid.org/0009-0005-2457-4775
  • Hussein Ali Ewadh Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Babylon, Babylon, Iraq.
  • Raid Rahman Almuhanna Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Karbala, Karbala, Iraq https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1426-0044

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31272/jeasd.2092

Keywords:

Arterial streets, Average delay, Highway Safety Manual, PTV VISSIM, Road safety

Abstract

Crash prediction is a suitable alternative to an unreliable accident record for the purpose of conducting traffic safety studies. This paper's goal is to find the impact of relative delay rate on the rate of crashes at arterial roads in the city of Karbala. The study area is Fatima Al-Zahraa Street, which is an urban arterial with a length of 1.40 km. The traffic volume data had been calculated manually using video camera recordings for five days (Jan 25th to 29th, 2023) with an average of 16 hours per day. A simulation model was run using PTV VISSIM software for the purpose of calculating the relative delay rate and service level. The crash rate was predicted using the Highway Safety Manual (HSM). Through the use of linear regression analysis, it was possible to determine a linear link between the relative delay rate and the rate of crashes that occurred during peak hours, and this relationship is consistent with previous literature and research.

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Key Dates

Received

2024-04-20

Revised

2025-04-19

Accepted

2025-05-15

Published Online First

2025-10-30

Published

2025-11-01

How to Cite

Salah, M., Ali Ewadh, H., & Rahman Almuhanna, R. (2025). Effect of Relative Delay Rate on Predicted Accident at Karbala City Arterial Streets: A Simulation Study. Journal of Engineering and Sustainable Development, 29(6), 817-825. https://doi.org/10.31272/jeasd.2092

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